must be at the expense of co-ordinating cells. How the antagonism
affects the female economy is not clear. Possibly the provision
required to be made for supplying nervous as well as other nutriment to
the embryo, involves an arrest in the development of the nervous
system, and if so, probably this arrest takes place early in proportion
as the number of the coming offspring makes the required provision
great: or rather, to put the facts in their right sequence, an early
arrest renders the production of a numerous offspring possible.
§ 14. The law which we have thus traced
throughout the animal kingdom, and which must alike determine the
different fertilities of different species, and the variations of
fertility in the same species, we have now to consider in its
application to mankind.
From the fact that the human race is in a state of
transition, we may suspect that the existing ratio between its ability
to multiply, and its ability to maintain life, is not a constant
ratio. From the fact that its fertility is at present in excess
of
what is needful, we may infer that any change in the ratio will
probably be towards a diminution of fertility. And from the fact
that, on the whole, civilization increases the ability to maintain
life, we may perceive that there is at work some influence by which
such diminution is necessitated. Before inquiring for this
influence, let us consider what directions an increase of the ability
to maintain life may take—what scope there is for an
increase. In some further development of the co-ordinating
system, that is, in some greater co-ordination of actions, the increase
must of course consist. But there are several kinds of
co-ordination; and it will be well to ask of what kind or kinds
increase is most requisite, and therefore most likely. For,
doubtless, in conformity with the general law of adaptation, increase
will take place only where it is demanded.
Will it be in strength? Probably not.
Though from pre-historic remains, we may gather that the race has
become more bulky, yet the cause of this change seems now
diminishing. Mechanical appliances are fast supplanting muscular
force, and will most likely continue to do so until they leave to be
done by manual labour only as much as is needful for the healthy
maintenance of the body at its then attained size.
Will it be in swiftness or agility? Probably
not. In the savage these form important elements of the ability
to maintain life; but in the civilized man they subserve that end in
quite a minor degree, and there seems no circumstance likely to
necessitate an increase of them.
Will it be in mechanical skill, that is, in better
co-ordination of complex movements? Most likely in some
degree. Awkward-
p. 497
ness is continually entailing injuries and loss of life.
Moreover, the conplicated ...s [not readable, JLD]
developed by civilization are constantly requiring greater delicacy of
manipulation. Already the cerebellum, which is the nervous centre
directing compound motions, is larger in man than in any other creature
except the elephant; and the daily-increasing variety and complexity of
the processes he has to perform, and the appliances he has to use, may
be expected to cause a further growth of it.
Will it be in intelligence? Largely, no
doubt. There is ample room for progress in this direction, and
ample demand for it. Our lives are universally shortened by our
ignorance. In attaining complete knowledge of our own nature, and
of the nature of surrounding things—in ascertaining the
condition of existence to which we must conform, and in discovering
means of conforming to them under all variations of seasons and
circumstances—we have abundant scope for intellectual
culture and urgent need for intellectual development.
Will it be in morality, that is, in greater power of
self-regulation? Largely also; perhaps most largely. Normal
conduct, or in other words conduct conductive to the maintenance of
perfect and long-continued life, is usually come short of more from
defect of will than of knowledge. To the due co-ordination of
those complex actions which constitute human life in its civilized
form, there goes not only the prerequisite—recognition of
the proper course; but the further prerequisite—a due
impulse to pursue that course. And on calling to mind our daily
failures to fulfil often-repeated resolutions, we shall perceive that
lack of the needful desire, rather than lack of the needful insight, is
the chief cause of faulty action. A further endowment of those
feelings which civilization is developing in us—sentiments
responding to the requirements of the social state—emotive
faculties that find their gratifications in the duties devolving on us—must
be acquired before the crimes, excesses, diseases, improvidences,
dishonesties, and cruelties, that now so greatly diminish the duration
of life, can cease.
But whether greater co-ordination of actions take
place in any or in all of these directions, and in whatever degree or
proportions, it is clear that, if it take place at all, it must be at
the expense of fertility. Regarded from the abstract point of
view, increased ability to maintain life in this case, as in all
others, necessarily involves decreased ability to multiply. Or,
regarded in the concrete, that further development of the co-ordinating
system, which any advance presupposes, implies further decrease in the
production of co-ordinating cells.
§ 15. That an enlargement of the nervous
centres is going on in mankind, is an ascertained fact. Not alone
from general
p. 498
survery of human progress—not alone from the
greater power of self-preservation shown by civilized races are we left
to infer such enlargement; it is proved by actual measurement.
The mean capacities of the crania in the leading divisions of the
species have been found to be—
In the Australian
|
|
75 cubic inches
|
''
African
|
|
82
''
|
'' Malayan
|
|
86
''
|
'' Englishman
|
|
96*
''
|
showing an increase in the course of the advance from the savage
state to our present phase of civilization, amounting to nearly 30 per
cent. on the original size. That this increase will be
continuous, might be reasonably assumed; and to infer a future decrease
of fertility would be tolerably safe, were no further evidence
forthcoming. But it may be shown why a greater development of the
nervous system
must take
place, and why, consequently, there
must
be a diminution of the present excess of fertility; and further,
it may be shown that the sole agency needed to work out this change is—
the excess of fertility itself.
For, as we all know, this excess of fertility
entails a constant pressure of population upon the means of
subsistence; and, as long as it exists, must continue to do this.
Looking only at the present and the immediate future, it is
unquestionably true, that, if unchecked, the rate of increase of people
would exceed the rate of increase of food. It is clear that the
wants of their redundant numbers constitute the only stimulus mankind
have to a greater production of the necessaries of life; for, were not
the demand beyond the supply, there would be no motive to increase the
supply. Moreover, this excess of demand over supply, and this
pressure of population, of which it is the index, cannot be
eluded. Though by the emigration that takes place when the
pressure arrives at a certain intensity, a partial and temporary relief
may be obtained, yet, as by this process all habitable countries must
gradually become peopled, it follows, that in the end the pressure,
whatever it may then be, must be borne in full.
But this inevitable redundancy of numbers—this
constant increase of people beyond the means of subsistence—involving
as it does an increasing stimulus to better the modes of producing food
and other necessaries—involves also an incresing demand for
skill, intelligence, and self-control—involves, therefore, a
constant exercise of these, that is—involves a gradual
growth of them. Every improvement is at once the product of a
higher form of humanity, and demands that higher form of humanity
* Lecture by Prof. Owen, before the Zoological
Society, Nov. 11th, 1851.
p. 499
to carry it into practice. The application of science to the arts
is simply the bringing to bear greater intelligence for satisfying our
wants; and implies continued increase of that intelligence.
To get more produce from an acre, the farmer must study chemistry—must
adopt new mechanical appliances—and must, by the
multiplication of tools and processes, cultivate both his own powers
and the powers of his labourers. To meet the requirements of the
market, the manufacturer is perpetually improving his old machines, and
inventing new ones; and by the premium of high wages incites artizans
to
acquire greater skill. The daily-widening ramifications of
commerce entail upon the merchant a need for more knowledge and more
complex calculations; whilst the lessening profits of the ship-owner
forces him to employ greater science in building, to get captains of
higher intelligence, and better crews. In all cases, increase of
numbers is the efficient cause. Were it not for the competition
this entails, more thought would not daily be brought to bear upon the
business of life; greater activity of mind would not be called for; and
development of mental power would not take place. Difficulty in
getting a living is alike the incentive to a higher education of
children, and to a more intense and long-continued application in
adults. In the mother it induces foresight, economy, and skilful
housekeeping; in the father, laborious days and constant
self-denial.
Nothing but this discipline could produce a continued
progression. The contrast between a Pacific Islander, all whose
wants are supplied by Nature, and an Englishman, who, generation after
generation, has had to bring to the satisfaction of his wants
ever-increasing knowledge and skill, illustrates at once the need for,
and the effects of, such discipline. And this being admitted, it
cannot be denied that a further continuance of such discipline,
possibly under a yet more intense form, must produce a further progress
in the same direction—a further enlargement of the nervous
centres, and a further decline of fertility.
And here
it must be remarked, that the effect of pressure of population,
in increasing the ability to maintain life, and decreasing the ability
to multiply, is not a
uniform effect, but an average one. In this case, as in
many others, Nature secures each step in advance by a succession of
trials, which are perpetually repeated, and cannot fail to be repeated,
until success is achieved. All mankind in turn subject themselves
more or less to the discipline described; they either may or may not
advance under it; but, in the nature of things, only those who do advance under it eventually
survive. [my emphasis, JLD] For, necessarily, families and
races
p. 500
whom this increasing difficulty of getting a living which
excess
of fertility entails, does not stimulate to improvements in production—that
is, to greater mental activity—are
on the high road to extinction; and must ultimately be supplanted by
those whom the pressure does so stimulate. This truth we have
recently seen exemplified in Ireland. And here, indeed, without
further illustration, it will be seen that premature death, under all
its forms, and from all its causes, cannot fail to work in the same
direction.
For as
those prematurely carried off must, in the average of cases, be those
in whom the power of self-preservation is the least, it unavoidably
follows, that those left behind to continue the race are those in whom
the power of self-preservation is the greatest—are the select of their
generation.
[my emphasis, JLD] So that, whether the dangers to existence
be of the kind produced by excess of fertility, or of any other kind,
it is clear, that by the ceaseless exercise of the faculties needed to
contend with them, and by the death of all men who fail to contend with
them successfully, there is ensured a constant progress towards a
higher degree of skill, intelligence, and self-regulation—a
better co-ordination of actions—a more complete life.
§ 16. There now remains but to inquire towards
what limit this progress tends. Evidently, so long as the
fertility of the race is more than sufficient to balance the diminution
by deaths, population must continue to increase: so long as population
continues to increase, there must be pressure on the means of
subsistence: and so long as there is pressure on the means of
subsistence, further mental development must go on, and further
diminution of fertility must result. Hence, the change can never
cease until the rate of multiplication is just equal to the rate of
mortality; that is—can never cease until, on the average,
each pair brings to maturity but two children. Probably this
involves that each pair will rarely produce more than two offspring;
seeing that with the greatly-increased ability to preserve life, which
the hypothesis presupposes, the amount of infant and juvenile mortality
must become very small. Be this as it may, however, it is
manifest
that, in the end, pressure of population and its accompanying evils
will entirely disappear; and will leave a state of things which will
require from each individual no more than a normal and pleasurable
activity. That this last inference is a legitimate corollary will
become obvious on a little consideration. For, a cessation in the
decrease of fertility implies a cessation in the development of the
nervous system; and this implies that the nervous system has become
fully equal to all that is demanded of it—has not to do more
than is natural to it. But exercise of faculties which does not
ex-
p. 501
ceed what is natural constitutes gratification.
Consequently, in the end, the obtainment of subsistence will require
just that kind and that amount of action needful to perfect health and
happiness.
Thus do we see how simple are the means by which the
greatest and most complex results are worked out. From the point
of view now reached, it becomes plain that the necessary antagonism of
individuation and reproduction not only fulfils with precision the
à priori law of maintenance
of race, from the monad up to man, but ensures the final attainment of
the highest form of this maintenance—a form in which the
amount of life shall be the greatest possible, and the births and
deaths the fewest possible. In the nature of things, the
antagonism could not fail to work out the results we see it working
out. The gradual diminution and ultimate disappearance of the
original excess of fertility could take place only through the process
of civilization; and, at the same time, the excess of fertility has
itself rendered the process of civilization inevitable. From the
beginning, pressure of population has been the proximate cause of
progress. It produced the original diffusion of the race.
It compelled men to abandon predatory habits and take to
agriculture. It led to the clearing of the earth's surface.
It forced men into the social state; made social organization
inevitable; and has developed the social sentiments. It has
stimulated to progressive improvements in production, and to increased
skill and intelligence. It is daily pressing us into closer
contact and more mutually-dependent relationships. And after
having caused, as it ultimately must, the due peopling of the globe,
and the bringing of all its habitable parts into the highest state of
culture—after having brought all processes for the
satisfaction of human wants to the greatest perfection—after
having, at the same time, developed the intellect into complete
competence for its work, and the feelings into complete fitness for
social life—after having done all this, we see that the
pressure of population, as it gradually finishes its work, must
gradually bring itself to an end.
Last modified
31 August 2003